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US corn production set to retrieve from 2025 historic peaks

13 May 20262 min reading

USDA’s latest WASDE report confirms a 6% decline in U.S. corn production for the 2026/27 season, signaling a tightening global supply and a more volatile pricing environment for the animal nutrition sector.

The era of record-breaking U.S. corn harvests is set to pause in 2026. According to the latest USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report released on May 12, 2026, U.S. corn production for the 2026/27 marketing year is projected to reach 16.0 billion bushels. This represents a significant decline from the historic peaks seen in 2025, primarily driven by a 3.5-million-acre reduction in planted area as farmers shift toward more profitable soybean rotations amid rising input costs and geopolitical uncertainties.

For the global feed industry, this supply tightening coupled with a projected 18% drop in ending stocks marks a critical transition from a period of burdensome surplus to a more defensive market posture. While yield remains a "weather-adjusted" variable, the reduction in feed and residual use projections reflects a cautious outlook for livestock producers who must now navigate higher energy costs in their formulations. As global consumption is expected to exceed production by nearly 20 million tons this season, the feed sector is bracing for a shift in trade flows, with South American corn becoming even more vital to bridge the gap left by the U.S. contraction.

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